1. Although the subjective forces of the revolution in China are
now weak, so also are all organizations (organs of political power, armed
forces, political parties, etc.) of the reactionary ruling classes, resting as
they do on the backward and fragile social and economic structure of China.
This helps to explain why revolution cannot break out at once in the countries
of Western Europe where, although the subjective forces of revolution are now
perhaps somewhat stronger than in China, the forces of the reactionary ruling
classes are many times stronger. In China the revolution will undoubtedly move
towards a high tide more rapidly, for although the subjective forces of the
revolution at present are weak, the forces of the counter-revolution are
relatively weak too.
2. The subjective forces of the revolution have indeed been
greatly weakened since the defeat of the revolution in 1927. The remaining
forces are very small and those comrades who judge by appearances alone
naturally feel pessimistic. But if we judge by essentials, it is quite another
story. Here we can apply the old Chinese saying, "A single spark can start
a prairie fire." In other words, our forces, although small at present,
will grow very rapidly. In the conditions prevailing in China, their growth is
not only possible but indeed inevitable, as the May 30th Movement and the Great
Revolution which followed have fully proved. When we look at a thing, we must
examine its essence and treat its appearance merely as an usher at the
threshold, and once we cross the threshold, we must grasp the essence of the
thing; this is the only reliable and scientific method of analysis.
3. Similarly, in appraising the counter-revolutionary forces, we
must never look merely at their appearance, but should examine their essence.
In the initial period of our independent regime in the Hunan-Kiangsi border
area, some comrades genuinely believed the incorrect appraisal made by the
Hunan Provincial Committee and regarded the class enemy as not worth a rap; the
two descriptive terms, "terribly shaky" and "extremely
panicky", which are standing jokes to this day, were used by the Hunan
Provincial Committee at the time (from May to June 1928) in appraising the
Hunan ruler Lu Ti-ping. [3] Such an appraisal necessarily led to putschism in the political
sphere. But during the four months from November of that year to February 1929
(before the war between Chiang Kai-shek and the Kwangsi warlords), [4] when the enemy's third "joint suppression expedition"
[5] was approaching the Chingkang Mountains, some comrades asked the
question, "How long can we keep the Red Flag flying?" As a matter of
fact, the struggle in China between Britain, the United States and Japan had by
then become quite open, and a state of tangled warfare between Chiang Kai-shek,
the Kwangsi clique and Feng Yu-hsiang was taking shape; hence it was actually
the time when the counter-revolutionary tide had begun to ebb and the
revolutionary tide to rise again. Yet pessimistic ideas were to be found not
only in the Red Army and local Party organizations, even the Central Committee
was misled by appearances and adopted a pessimistic tone. Its February letter
is evidence of the pessimistic analysis made in the Party at that time.
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