4. The objective situation today is still such that comrades who
see only the superficial appearance and not the essence of what is before them
are liable to be misled. In particular, when our comrades working in the Red
Army are defeated in battle or encircled or pursued by strong enemy forces,
they often unwittingly generalize and exaggerate their momentary, specific and
limited situation, as though the situation in China and the world as a whole
gave no cause for optimism and the prospects of victory for the revolution were
remote. The reason they seize on the appearance and brush aside the essence in
their observation of things is that they have not made a scientific analysis of
the essence of the overall situation. The question whether there will soon be a
revolutionary high tide in China can be decided only by making a detailed
examination to ascertain whether the contradictions leading to a revolutionary
high tide are really developing. Since contradictions are developing in the
world between the imperialist countries, between the imperialist countries and
their colonies, and between the imperialists and the proletariat in their own
countries, there is an intensified need for the imperialists to contend for the
domination of China. While the imperialist contention over China becomes more
intense, both the contradiction between imperialism and the whole Chinese
nation and the contradictions among the imperialists themselves develop
simultaneously on Chinese soil, thereby creating the tangled warfare which is
expanding and intensifying daily and giving rise to the continuous development
of the contradictions among the different cliques of China's reactionary
rulers. In the wake of the contradictions among the reactionary ruling
cliques--the tangled warfare among the warlords--comes heavier taxation, which
steadily sharpens the contradiction between the broad masses of taxpayers and
the reactionary rulers. In the wake of the contradiction between imperialism
and China's national industry comes the failure of the Chinese industrialists
to obtain concessions from the imperialists, which sharpens the contradiction
between the Chinese bourgeoisie and the Chinese working class, with the Chinese
capitalists trying to find a way out by frantically exploiting the workers and
with the workers resisting. In the wake of imperialist commercial aggression,
Chinese merchant-capitalist extortions, heavier government taxation, etc.,
comes the deepening of the contradiction between the landlord class and the
peasantry, that is, exploitation through rent and usury is aggravated and the
hatred of the peasants for the landlords grows. Because of the pressure of
foreign goods, the exhaustion of the purchasing power of the worker and peasant
masses, and the increase in government taxation, more and more dealers in
Chinese-made goods and independent producers are being driven into bankruptcy.
Because the reactionary government, though short of provisions and funds,
endlessly expands its armies and thus constantly extends the warfare, the
masses of soldiers are in a constant state of privation. Because of the growth
in government taxation, the rise in rent and interest demanded by the landlords
and the daily spread of the disasters of war, there are famine and banditry
everywhere and the peasant masses and the urban poor can hardly keep alive.
Because the schools have no money, many students fear that their education may
be interrupted; because production is backward, many graduates have no hope of
employment. Once we understand all these contradictions, we shall see in what a
desperate situation, in what a chaotic state, China finds herself. We shall
also see that the high tide of revolution against the imperialists, the
warlords and the landlords is inevitable, and will come very soon. All China is
littered with dry faggots which will soon be aflame. The saying, "A single
spark can start a prairie fire", is an apt description of how the current
situation will develop. We need only look at the strikes by the workers, the
uprisings by the peasants, the mutinies of soldiers and the strikes of students
which are developing in many places to see that it cannot be long before a
"spark" kindles "a prairie fire".
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